Kees de Jager

Cornelis "Kees" de Jager (29 April 1921 – 27 May 2021) was a Dutch astronomer who specialized in predicting solar variation to assess the Sun's impact on future climate.

Thus solar activity in the 21st century is expected to be lower than it was for most of the 20th century.

A reduction in solar activity means less energy input to the Earth as part of the Earth's energy budget, partially countering climate change.

De Jager postulated that solar magnetic activity is the most significant contributor to tropospheric temperatures, with polar activity also being significant, and that with the subtraction of these factors from temperatures recorded over the preceding 400 years, peaks and dips in temperature could be observed, accounting for recent increase in global warming.

The track of the two components went from low to high activity around 1923.

In 1939, De Jager heard Professor Minnaert speak.

De Jager said "I was so fascinated by what he said, that I decided right then and there to study Astronomy."

From 1939 to 1945, he studied mathematics, physics and astronomy at Utrecht University.

On 13 October 1952, he obtained his PhD with a thesis called "The Hydrogen Spectrum of the Sun".

His supervisor was Marcel Minnaert.

De Jager died where he was born, in Den Burg (Texel), on 27 May 2021, less than a month after he became a centenarian.

De Jager did work on stars and solar physics, in relation to which he was a founding editor of the journal Solar Physics.

From 1960 to 1986, de Jager was a professor at Utrecht University.

De Jager's later research focused on predicting solar variation to assess the Sun's impact on future climate.

Solar activity is usually defined by the Sun's toroidal magnetic field, the field component parallel to the solar equator.

Sunspots are one expression of this component.

De Jager introduced the poloidal field of the Sun, which connects its two poles, as a factor of possibly similar importance.

He used proxies for both components and took 19-year running averages to eliminate all effects that last only one or two solar cycles.

Next he plotted both components in a diagram, thus creating an experimental phase portrait.

He was the General Secretary of the IAU from 1967 to 1973 and former director of the observatory at Utrecht.

He was a fellow with the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry and played an important role in the European skeptical movement as the first chairman of both Stichting Skepsis and the European Council of Skeptical Organisations.

Born in Den Burg on the Dutch island of Texel, de Jager spent his school years in the Dutch East Indies.

He was the General Secretary of the IAU from 1967 to 1973 and former director of the observatory at Utrecht.

Similar theories have been rejected by other climate scientists as solar activity and global temperatures have diverged since 1975, with energy output from the Sun decreasing and Earth temperatures still increasing.

Additionally, warming caused exclusively by the Sun would result in an even warming throughout the atmosphere, rather than the observed cooling in the upper atmosphere and warming in the lower atmosphere associated with greenhouse gases.

From 1978 onward, de Jager did noted work on the most luminous stars, known as hypergiants.

In 1980, he was principal investigator of the Hard X-ray Imaging Spectrometer (HXIS) on board the Solar Maximum Mission satellite.

His work on solar flares was often done in collaboration with Zdeněk Švestka.

In 1981, de Jager became a founding member of the World Cultural Council.

He was the first chairman of Stichting Skepsis from 1987 to 1998, the first chairman of the European Council of Skeptical Organisations from 1994 to 2001, and was also a Committee for Skeptical Inquiry fellow.

De Jager joined his CSI peers by signing the "Deniers are not Skeptics" petition that asks the media to stop referring to climate change deniers as skeptics, with the petition stating "proper skepticism promotes scientific inquiry, critical investigation, and the use of reason in examining controversial and extraordinary claims", not "rejection of ideas without objective consideration".

Expanding on a 1990 paper presentation at the International Skeptics Conference, de Jager published an article for Skeptical Inquirer where he parodies numerology.

In Adventures in Science and Cyclosophy, de Jager claims that many times pseudoscientific reasoning ignores coincidences dealing with the relationship between objects when there are unlimited data points.

He states that measurements surrounding the Great Pyramids have been used to show a relationship with astronomy.

To do so, he explains, anyone can use the law of large numbers to relate to anything one would want, to try and prove there is some connection.

As an illustration, he uses the example of his bicycle and the cosmos.

Enthusiasts in this formula have created a website that allows visitors to submit data to replicate de Jager's experiment.

According to Kendrick Frazier, who attended the 1998 Second World Skeptics Congress in Heidelberg, Germany, de Jager's "dead-pan" description of how he took measurements throughout his house showing the "absurdities of those who attach great mystical significance to measurements of the Great Pyramid" had the audience "in stitches".

Apparently "his home is in an astronomical observatory, a location, he said, 'that may be very close to the cosmos and well receptive to its incredible powers.'"

Around 2006 the same point has been passed in the opposite direction.